Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
25 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 10-3-0
69%
Meta
+3.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Parthav Patel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
5th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs cedrik pinault (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Silvester Nava (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R13 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
14th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
5.6
Surp
4.8
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Guyllaume Dupéré-Demers (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 88:12
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nikola Pouliot (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
16th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Win vs Jean-François Dufour (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
80:20
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Pleiades, Superstar | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
90:10
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Castellani (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 88:12
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 90% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mikail Khan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ricardo Rua (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ewan Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jack Doucet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Laff (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Gorrell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Luna (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daryan Simon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aron Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Brannen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs William Luna (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Warburton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Canedy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Charles-Antoine Bouchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Julien Carrier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tre Baroncini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ray Sopal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Fromm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Julien Carrier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eli Teed (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Simon Mercier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ray Sopal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Filipchuk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Maxim Poirier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Root Lévesque (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs William Guillemette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Gargiule (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.9
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs TJ Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colby Gray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Philippe Arcand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.