Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
27 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
21st • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs James Warburton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jaber Hye (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Madison Day (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 4: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 10: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R11 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
26th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andromeda Clover (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Laff (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
28th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 11: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
29th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Phenix (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brady Bicknell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
36th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.4
Surp
4.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Roy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tristan Mitchell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Pleiades, Superstar | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
52nd • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Pauls (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Travis Patterson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs William Guillemette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 7: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
53rd • 6-6-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.9
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jade Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Round 7: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (6.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R10 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs James Warburton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ray Sopal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80
Round 6: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nicholas Porter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bruno Lapointe (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Simon Mercier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs zachary lowe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
Round 3: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Penny Schankula (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Sigle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.9
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 7: Win vs Victor Mercado (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
86%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joshua Laff (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 82:18
Round 6: Loss vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Knapp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Luna (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Parthav Patel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Victor Mercado (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Malik Salah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hugo Morissette (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charles-Antoine Bouchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Fromm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cameron Franks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony Roy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 5: Loss vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 57:43
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Guyllaume Dupéré-Demers (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Pauls (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Lourenco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jean-Philippe Perron (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rich Pauls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 61:39
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Loss vs Jack Doucet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Paul Athayde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 20:80
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.