Rhinar, Reckless Rampage at Calling: Montréal 2026
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.5
Surp
3.7
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 81:19
Round 6: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Laff (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 6: Loss vs Jade Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
17%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
Round 3: Win vs Ben Fromm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
17% (1/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxim Poirier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Powell (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.