Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.6
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 76:24
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
Round 10: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Laff (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nicolas Bouffard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 39:61
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jade Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 51:49
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
10:90
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 11:89
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (2.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Win vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Ben Fromm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Maxim Poirier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Powell (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.