Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
17 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-4-0
79%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
Round 7: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
79% (11/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (7.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
12th • 9-3-0
83%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.7
Surp
3.6
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Routliffe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
Round 2: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 82:18
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Filipchuk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 82:18
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (7.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
22nd • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Win vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Win vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Parthav Patel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 82:18
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 11: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
25th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Clay DeAngelis (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
32nd • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
5.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tristan Mitchell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
90:10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
35th • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Chato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
90:10
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
38th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mikail Khan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs William Luna (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bruno Lapointe (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
90:10
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
90:10
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
80%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
4.6
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dana Desautels (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daryan Simon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Malik Salah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Madison Day (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 82:18
Round 7: Win vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kegan Allen (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Blair (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 82:18
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Liam Larocque (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jack Doucet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Root Lévesque (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Gargiule (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexander Blair (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mitchell Belliveau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeff Whyte (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alexia Trepanier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 58:42
90:10
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Routliffe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 88:12
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 90% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 82:18, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Gary clark (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 80% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.