Ira, Scarlet Revenger
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-4-0
64%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.4
Surp
4.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
Round 4: Win vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 78:22
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (7.0 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 49:51
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Keddy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marc-André B. Plante (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Brannen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Chato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devon Wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.