Ira, Scarlet Revenger at Calling: Montréal 2026
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 10-4-0
64%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.5
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
Round 4: Win vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 75:25
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
64% (9/14 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
6.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R14 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
33rd • 8-4-0
83%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.8
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 52:48
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Jarl Vetreiði | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Keddy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Marc-André B. Plante (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 75% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Brannen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 18:82
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 25% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 37:63
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Chato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Devon Wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.