Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

6 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

40th 7-5-0
42%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 53:47
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Jarl Vetreiði
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 61:39
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
Dash I/O
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
20:80
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 22:78
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.2
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
dropped 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Sigle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Liam Larocque (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
dropped 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc-André B. Plante (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
!!
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56
dropped 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 35:65
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 40:60
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guyllaume Dupéré-Demers (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
dropped 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 49:51
Fang, Dracai of Blades
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 53:47
Fai, Rising Rebellion
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Penny Schankula (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 44:56

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.