Puffin, Hightail at Calling: Montréal 2026
Puffin, Hightail
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
40th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 38:62
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
R12
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mike Sigle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Round 5: Win vs Liam Larocque (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc-André B. Plante (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Kershaw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 28:72
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Siuda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Guyllaume Dupéré-Demers (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-1
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Penny Schankula (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Draw |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.