Dorinthea Ironsong
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 11-2-0
77%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
5.9
Surp
5.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan Greget (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 3: Win vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 63:37
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
77% (10/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 11 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R13 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
50%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Laff (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Castellani (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Paul Athayde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 67:33
Round 6: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric LaGaccia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Keddy (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Porter (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Zimmer (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 13:87
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Madison Day (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eli Teed (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.