Dash I/O at Calling: Montréal 2026

Dash I/O

17 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Connor Bryant

1st • 13-2-0

80%

Meta

+5.1

Perf

6.8

Surp

6.1

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Samuel Tillinghast (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brian Fowler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

40:60

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

75:25

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

45:55

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R13 CC

Round 13: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R14 CC

Round 14: Win vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R15 CC

Round 15: Win vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

80% (12/15 favorable matchups)

Performance

+5.1 Wins (7.9 expected, 13 actual)

Surprise

6.8 total deviation

Difficulty

6.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.05
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.12
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.17
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.22
R5	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Win	✗	0.61	0.45
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.37
R7	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.46
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.52
R10	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R11	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.33
R12	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.89
R13	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.71
R14	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.87
R15	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.93

Angel Fernandez

34th • 8-4-0

83%

Meta

+1.3

Perf

5.9

Surp

3.9

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 46:54

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Amelia Russell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs TJ Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Robert Alessi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

60:40

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

70:30

R11 CC

Round 11: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

40:60

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+1.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

5.9 total deviation

Difficulty

3.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.09
R2	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-
R4	CC	Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.33
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.35
R6	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Win	✓	0.41	0.38
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.49
R8	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.49
R9	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R10	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-
R11	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.44
R12	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.35

Raine Karan

56th • 6-6-0

83%

Meta

-0.0

Perf

6.1

Surp

3.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Matthew Avery (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs None (Unknown)

25:75

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

50:50

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

Meta Fit

83% (10/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

6.1 total deviation

Difficulty

3.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.18
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.43
R7	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.17
R8	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R9	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R10	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R12	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.52	-

Caleb Engen

dropped • 4-3-0

71%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

2.2

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory

30:70

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 31:69

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.06
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.47
R5	CC	Katsu, the Wanderer	25%	Win	✗	0.75	1.43
R6	CC	Puffin, Hightail	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R7	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Jayrémy Leroux

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.3

Perf

3.2

Surp

1.5

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andromeda Clover (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Gorrell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.12
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.25
R3	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.32
R4	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R5	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

Mark Boothroyd

dropped • 4-3-0

86%

Meta

+0.2

Perf

3.0

Surp

1.7

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Devon Wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

70:30

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 72:28

Meta Fit

86% (6/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.7 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.12
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.37
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R5	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.43	0.70
R7	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	70%	Win	✓	0.28	0.48

Patrick Gorrell

dropped • 4-3-0

57%

Meta

+0.7

Perf

3.8

Surp

2.3

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Andrew Powell (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

75:25

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset

50:50

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48

35:65

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

50:50

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

25:75

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.8 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.22
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Loss	✓	0.74	-
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.41
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Win	✗	0.65	0.86
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.86
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Alexandre Riel

dropped • 2-5-0

71%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

3.3

Surp

0.8

Diff

25:75

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

55:45

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 56:44

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.3 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R2	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Win	✓	0.48	0.27
R3	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Win	✓	0.40	0.53
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-
R7	CC	Marlynn, Treasure Hunter	55%	Loss	✓	0.56	-

Julien Carrier

dropped • 2-4-0

67%

Meta

-0.8

Perf

2.7

Surp

0.8

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Michael Clair (Unknown)

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 26:74

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Malik Salah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 35:65

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

Meta Fit

67% (4/6 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.17
R2	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	35%	Loss	✗	0.35	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.62
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R6	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-

Anthony Roy

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

2.6

Surp

1.1

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Matthew Avery (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Robert Hayward (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Dana Desautels (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.6 total deviation

Difficulty

1.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.86

Chris Borecky

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

75:25

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Jade Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 52:48

60:40

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 59:41

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R3	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.27
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.74
R5	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	60%	Loss	✓	0.59	-

Travis Patterson

dropped • 1-4-0

60%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.1

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ewan Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Austin Ryan (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 31:69

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Bloom Linteau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs James Warburton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

60% (3/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R4	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-
R5	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Matthew Avery

dropped • 1-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.6

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Roy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Mercier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

100% (4/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.65
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Philippe Thai

dropped • 1-3-0

75%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

2.0

Surp

0.5

Diff

40:60

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ewan Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 57:43

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Madison Day (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R2	CC	Olympia, Prized Fighter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.57	-
R4	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-

Christopher Spescha

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.1

Diff

75:25

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Marc-Antoine Leclerc (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26

55:45

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

25:75

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zack Phillips (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	75%	Win	✓	0.26	0.15
R2	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	25%	Loss	✗	0.24	-

Jonathan Knapp

dropped • 1-2-0

67%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

1.4

Surp

0.3

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 55:45

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 39:61

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.4 total deviation

Difficulty

0.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	55%	Win	✓	0.45	0.29
R2	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R3	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	60%	Loss	✓	0.58	-

Gary clark

dropped • 0-3-0

100%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

55:45

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Glenn Rosario II (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

100% (3/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.55	-
R2	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-
R3	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.