Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
14%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 47:53
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Cherniavski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 28:72
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Madison Day (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Amelia Russell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bruno Lapointe (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
14%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bloom Linteau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Sanco Iskharia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philippe Arcand (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Romir Verma (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
5:95
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 7:93
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs cedrik pinault (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
5:95
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 7:93
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jack Doucet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 5% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 5% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Paul Athayde (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Victor Mercado (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 28:72
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-1
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Liam Larocque (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 70% | Draw |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brian Fowler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 33:67
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Loss vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 65% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.