Valda, Seismic Impact
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 8-3-1
42%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc-Antoine Boudreau Boudreau (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 14:86
Round 6: Win vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Brady Bicknell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
Round 10: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Draw |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
18th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
6.0
Surp
5.9
Diff
95:5
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexia Trepanier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Silvester Nava (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 14:86, underdog victory
Round 9: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
Round 12: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 15% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
90:10
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 14:86
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36
95:5
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexia Trepanier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 93:7
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 95% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 89:11, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 18:82
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 90% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.