Valda, Seismic Impact at Calling: Montréal 2026
Valda, Seismic Impact
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
20th • 8-3-1
50%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
6.6
Surp
5.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Marc-Antoine Boudreau Boudreau (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 7: Win vs Brady Bicknell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
Round 10: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Draw vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Draw |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
18th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.8
Surp
4.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexia Trepanier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Silvester Nava (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 9: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 49:51
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Wadley (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 86:14
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexia Trepanier (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-6-0
57%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Steele (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 18:82
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 15:85
Round 7: Loss vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 20% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.