Arakni, Marionette at Calling: Montréal 2026
Arakni, Marionette
32 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
10th • 9-3-0
58%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.1
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Hayward (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs David Barbosa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brady Bicknell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jimmy Niro Demers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 10: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
11th • 9-3-0
92%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaber Hye (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
23rd • 8-4-0
50%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Robert Alessi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corey Frascati-Robinson (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Round 12: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Loss |
31st • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
4.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eli Teed (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 8: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
37th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.9
Surp
4.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Pierre-alexandre Ruel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jack Doucet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
Round 9: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
41st • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
5.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs David Brannen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Spescha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Malik Salah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
42nd • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
5.4
Surp
2.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Larocque (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs cedrik pinault (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (6.6 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
47th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
6.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Round 3: Loss vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Vincent Henault (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brodie Spurlock (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tristan Mitchell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
50th • 7-5-0
75%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hugo Morissette (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Round 8: Win vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
dropped • 5-5-0
60%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Cherniavski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Violet Davies (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Simon Mercier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Miller (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gary clark (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Robert Alessi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Jones (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Avery (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Simon Mercier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Aron Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Cavdar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs William Guillemette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Glenn Rosario II (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brady Bicknell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Pauls (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
Round 3: Loss vs Kate Wescott (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Renz (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Loss vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Devon Wong (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
0.9
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Adam Filipchuk (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Gottlieb (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Travis Patterson (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Round 7: Loss vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (3.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Smith (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tre Baroncini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
83%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicolas Mercier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Siuda (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Sigle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zachary Poirier-Gariépy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs William Guillemette (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Hugo Morissette (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ewan Anderson (Olympia, Prized Fighter) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs James Warburton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Olympia, Prized Fighter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emma Carrillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeff Barber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandre Lefebvre (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Routliffe (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Samuel Gemme (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eli Teed (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Anthony Roy (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 40:60
Round 2: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bruno Lapointe (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mark Boothroyd (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Theodore Tan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Vincent Henault (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Avery (Dash I/O) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Amelia Russell (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dana Desautels (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Cavdar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Round 3: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.