Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 3-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Gladman (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Dash I/O
!
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gary clark (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Cherniavski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eli Teed (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
dropped 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.2
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Cameron Franks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jaber Hye (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.