Kassai of the Golden Sand
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Blair (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean-François Dufour (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 57:43
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 44:56
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 75:25
Round 6: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Charles-Antoine Bouchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Round 2: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Penny Schankula (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 53:47
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cherniavski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 53:47
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs zachary lowe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Hayward (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.