Kassai of the Golden Sand at Calling: Montréal 2026
Kassai of the Golden Sand
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
3.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cody Beaver (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ricardo Rua (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Blair (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jean-François Dufour (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 45:55
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Pleiades, Superstar | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Sitrick (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mat Himmelman (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 49:51
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Charles-Antoine Bouchard (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.5
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71
Round 2: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jean-Philippe Legacy (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Penny Schankula (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 67:33
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Cherniavski (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs zachary lowe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Robert Hayward (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.