FaB-Results

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn at Calling: Montréal 2026

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

5 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Karl Del Duchetto
48th • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.0
Diff
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colby Gray (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tre Baroncini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Kassai of the Golden Sand
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Fai, Rising Rebellion
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Aidan Barsony
dropped • 6-5-0
27%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.3
Surp
3.3
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Gaudreault (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sam Titizian (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Dorinthea Ironsong
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joseph Surowaniec (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
Louis Fafard
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
3.4
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel Gemme (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Justin Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mitchell Belliveau (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Kassai of the Golden Sand
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hugo Morissette (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 33:67
Katsu, the Wanderer
!
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Victor Mercado (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
!
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Larouche (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Brandon Canedy
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Liam Larocque (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mikail Khan (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 48:52
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Zachary Poirier-Gariépy
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Jarl Vetreiði
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nikola Pouliot (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 33:67
Prism, Awakener of Sol
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 42:58
Arakni, Marionette
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeff Barber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 33:67

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.