Fai, Rising Rebellion at Calling: Montréal 2026
Fai, Rising Rebellion
13 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-4-0
38%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
5.5
Surp
4.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs zachary lowe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Gorrell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brian Fowler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Wesley Dong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs June Lekstutis (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
38% (5/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.5 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R13 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
45th • 7-5-0
17%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
3.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Benjamin Fraser (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Fowler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
17% (2/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
54th • 6-6-0
42%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryan Greget (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bruno Lapointe (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Alexander Blair (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Round 11: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Nicholas Gaudet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
42% (5/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Loss |
| R12 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs zachary lowe (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 73:27
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shahan Ahmed (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Lourenco (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Phenix (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Marc-Antoine Leclerc (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Chris Borecky (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ray Sopal (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
0%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric Jones (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
Round 4: Win vs Mariusz Korlacki (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 45:55
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.5
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derry Tong (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs paikan le faou-brabant (Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster) - Expected: 81:19
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Jade Williams (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Tuffnut, Bumbling Hulkster | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
33%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
0.2
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60
Round 6: Loss vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Emma Carrillo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Christopher Yunck (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Nathanael Frautschy (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Vincent Henault (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
25%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Jones (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Everett Rizner (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Hugo Morissette (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Spescha (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Jean-François Dufour (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Leon Lu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Brannen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.