Calling: Montréal 2026 - Riptide, Lurker of the Deep (CC)

Riptide, Lurker of the Deep

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Vincent Arui

19th • 8-4-0

58%

Meta

+2.8

Perf

6.2

Surp

4.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Penny Schankula (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 70:30

20:80

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Jason Thai (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

45:55

R9 CC

Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Lemire (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 43:57

R10

R10 CC

Round 10: Win vs Jordan Jalbert-Ross (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R11

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

20:80

R12 CC

Round 12: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 22:78

Meta Fit

58% (7/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)

Surprise

6.2 total deviation

Difficulty

4.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	70%	Win	✓	0.30	0.04
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Win	✗	0.78	0.37
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.28
R4	CC	Arakni, Huntsman	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.42
R6	CC	Valda, Seismic Impact	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Win	✗	0.78	1.28
R8	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.67
R9	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.57	0.92
R10	CC	Kayo, Armed and Dangerous	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.83
R11	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R12	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-

Joey Boily

dropped • 0-4-0

50%

Meta

-1.8

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs David Barbosa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

40:60

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Isabelle Nolet (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Gael Maraquin (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62

Meta Fit

50% (2/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kayo, Underhanded Cheat	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R3	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-

Jean-Philippe Perron

dropped • 0-3-0

67%

Meta

-1.1

Perf

1.1

Surp

0.0

Diff

5:95

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 7:93

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Jean-François Dufour (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Maxim Poirier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

67% (2/3 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)

Surprise

1.1 total deviation

Difficulty

0.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	5%	Loss	✗	0.07	-
R2	CC	Pleiades, Superstar	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.