Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Calling: Montréal 2026
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 81:19, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 80% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 50:50
Round 6: Win vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daryan Simon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 28:72
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bloom Linteau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
Round 5: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Malik Salah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
43%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Everett Rizner (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36
Round 2: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Draw |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc-Antoine Boudreau Boudreau (Unknown)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Barbosa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre-alexandre Ruel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Whyte (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 28:72
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.9
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Gargiule (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (2.9 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Cavdar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 80:20
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 70:30
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bloom Linteau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxim Poirier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Parthav Patel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc-Antoine Boudreau Boudreau (Unknown)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Carrier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.