Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
12 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
13th • 9-3-0
50%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
6.2
Surp
5.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Win vs Michel Corvino (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 28:72, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Anthony Ouellet (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Round 10: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 11: Win vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
65:35
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (6.1 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
5.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Win |
| R12 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
dropped • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Zavits (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 47:53
Round 6: Win vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 17:83, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Kevin Constantineau (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daryan Simon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bloom Linteau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 6: Win vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Malik Salah (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-1
57%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Everett Rizner (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
Round 2: Win vs Ben Olsen (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jefferson Winslow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marc-Antoine Boudreau Boudreau (Unknown)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs David Barbosa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Pierre-alexandre Ruel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Whyte (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dale Mushinski (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
29%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sunny Yang (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Gargiule (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Celeste Vautour (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Michel Remillard (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
Round 2: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matt Cavdar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leo Shea (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs brynn nieboer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Goldfischer (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 64:36
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bloom Linteau (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 63:37
20:80
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matthew Beck (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Bobby Bourque (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Maxim Poirier (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Parthav Patel (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ethan Lee (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marc-Antoine Boudreau Boudreau (Unknown)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Julien Carrier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
0%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cayne Wilbur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Laforest-Harvey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 22:78
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Gene Brumby (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.