Katsu, the Wanderer
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-5-0
64%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
64% (7/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 25% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Win vs Marc-André B. Plante (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TJ Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (3.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
4.5
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Sigle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Loss vs TJ Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 16:84, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 53:47
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 15% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matt Cavdar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 18:82
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Greget (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
33%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.