Katsu, the Wanderer at Calling: Montréal 2026
Katsu, the Wanderer
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 6-5-0
73%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
2.5
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brayden Pritchard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Caleb Engen (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Cubi Nguyen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Win vs Frank Boothroyd (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
73% (8/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Win vs Marc-André B. Plante (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Remi Hénault (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs JD Snook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Levstein (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Round 7: Loss vs Raine Karan (Dash I/O) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yan Garito (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Robert Alessi (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeffrey Brasseur (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Istvan Szilak (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs TJ Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Ben Weinfeld (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 7: Loss vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Molho (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kris Mayor (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 36:64
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Quantrell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rachel Van Leeuwen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Quoc Vinh Van (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matt Muus (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gabriel Harvey (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.4
Surp
1.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mike Sigle (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TJ Delaricheliere (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Zacchigna-moxey (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simha Karsenti (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Louis Fafard (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Jason Watkins (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 20% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Matt Cavdar (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aaron Shantz (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 24:76
Round 4: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tristan Mitchell (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Greget (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
Round 5: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 36:64
Round 2: Loss vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 60% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.