Kayo, Underhanded Cheat
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
46th • 7-5-0
58%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Philippe Thai (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Round 2: Win vs Melissa Steinman (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jayrémy Leroux (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Connor Bryant (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Gavin Trosclair (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Niko Bonnay (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Win vs Felix Krisch (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Round 11: Win vs Brenden Jones (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 5-6-0
36%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alex Tan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Knapp (Dash I/O) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Win vs Pierre-Alexandre Julien (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hunter Platt (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 86:14
Round 6: Win vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 8: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 35:65
20:80
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Karl Del Duchetto (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
36% (4/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (5.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 85% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 20% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
57%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jason Rolfe (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brady Bicknell (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tre Baroncini (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs David Barbosa (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nikola Pouliot (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Johnathan Carrillo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luke Martin (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Round 2: Win vs Nicolas Mercier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Blair (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Victor Mercado (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 53:47
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
0%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zachary Poirier-Gariépy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 20:80
Round 2: Win vs Marc Mehlenbacher (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hinman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 29:71
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Herndon (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65
Round 6: Win vs James Cæruleus Silver (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
0% (0/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs cedrik pinault (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Powell (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 59:41
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joey Boily (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Donghee Kim (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 36:64
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Simon Mercier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.