Jarl Vetreiði
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
24th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
5.4
Surp
3.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Eric Jones (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Eric LaGaccia (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Léo Vézinet (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Mark Boothroyd (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
Round 6: Win vs Joshua Lovell (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Aidan Barsony (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32
Round 9: Loss vs Max Welburn (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
70:30
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Colin Topper (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Noah Clark (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (6.9 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.4 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R10 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
43rd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aron Johnson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Clost (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ka Chan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Louis-Philippe Bouchard (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jean-François Dufour (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jaber Hye (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 62:38
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Gorrell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Vincent Arui (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cass Emerson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs David Lee (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
30:70
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Raymond Kwan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (6.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 55% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alex Nadeau (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nicolas Bouffard (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Schulte (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 39:61
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Nick Tucker (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nauris Rozenfelds (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 29:71
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Whyte (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Khamphiene Phommisai (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Dalia Morin (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Chato (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Brotton (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Foulkes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaak Krut (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
86%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Will Wang (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Chow (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Dreisziger (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Round 4: Loss vs Jiuzhou Hao (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Round 5: Win vs Wren Baxter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Biing Chyn "Benson" Lai (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nicolas Millaire (Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant) - Expected: 80:20
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Lyath Goldmane, Vile Savant | 80% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
67%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexandre Riel (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Daryan Simon (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Eric Lam (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Girard (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Zak Miller (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Feng (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Julien Carrier (Dash I/O) - Expected: 74:26
Round 3: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Dilks (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Vincent Bouyer (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jessie Naamani (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Frank Hung (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Maxim Villeneuve (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Adam Kershaw (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs nicolas Jamoulle (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jeff Barber (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yu Zhou (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aurelio Arcabascio (Pleiades, Superstar) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs philip poulin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Fabrice Hénault (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Kai Radomi (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Silvester Nava (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Pleiades, Superstar | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tyler Atkin (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zachary Poirier-Gariépy (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Simon Mercier (Kayo, Underhanded Cheat) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Underhanded Cheat | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.