Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
14 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
16th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
2.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason O'Mara (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
Round 7: Loss vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Amy Hazel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
20th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sage Husanu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brandon Ejupi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Round 8: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
28th • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Patrick Donnan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
Round 4: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Moiz Hasan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Ackley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Franche Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
38th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Sean Gray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Logel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Justin Gagliardi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
42nd • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jordan Raposo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hamilton Summer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Christopher Logel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 7: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
46th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Gullicks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew White (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
Round 5: Win vs Gavin Nord (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Martin Bantchev (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
47th • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Adam Miller (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
59th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Gavin Nord (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shane Gabel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Elias Holter (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
78th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Wes Schaff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Youngjin Ki (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryan Heffner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 57:43
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
79th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Evan Duda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 30:70
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Amy Hazel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Evan Zumwalt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shane Gabel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 76:24
Round 6: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Pritchard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
84th • 3-5-0
88%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bradley Jamrozik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs None ()
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | 50% | Win | |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
71%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathaniel Brower (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Amy Hazel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Loss vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlie Herren (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Evan Zumwalt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hamilton Summer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Leah Panitz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carl Handley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daniel Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Zumwalt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.