Riptide, Lurker of the Deep at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
3 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+2.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Daniel Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Griffin Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
67th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Logel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 70:30
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Leah Panitz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Sage Husanu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74
Round 6: Win vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Adam Miller (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 20% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-5-0
83%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Martin Bantchev (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 26:74
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Jones (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.