Fang, Dracai of Blades at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025
Fang, Dracai of Blades
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 10-1-0
55%
Meta
+4.2
Perf
5.1
Surp
5.9
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Leah Panitz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Round 2: Win vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Moiz Hasan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 71:29
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
Round 6: Win vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
Round 11: Win vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
55% (6/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.2 Wins (5.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
5.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R11 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
21st • 6-2-0
62%
Meta
+2.0
Perf
3.8
Surp
4.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Pritchard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Win vs Andrew Baar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Mena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
Round 5: Loss vs Andre Thomas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Round 7: Win vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Devin McAtee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
22nd • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.4
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Round 3: Win vs Bryan Heffner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Justin Doggett (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Round 6: Win vs Ronny Khuri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Andre Thomas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
27th • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs Thao Lopez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
Round 4: Win vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Adam Miller (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alex Tyler (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
50th • 4-4-0
38%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Josh Hill (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Justin Gagliardi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
55th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Sipes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
Round 4: Win vs Ciara McDonnell (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs William Payne (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Werner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
30:70
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gabriel Martinez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
65th • 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Darin Voight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Justin Doggett (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Christopher Montes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Robert Marsack (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
68th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Samuel Van Winkle (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Summer Giles (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Luke Shields (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Joseph Freeh (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ronny Khuri (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hamilton Summer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Theodore Maximiuk (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Round 8: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
85th • 3-4-1
62%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.8
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Anthony Domalakes (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Justin Doggett (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Caden Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Eric Schmidt (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 8: Win vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Draw |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 30% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
29%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 2: Win vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Cavin Saravanan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 47:53
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
29% (2/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
20%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Franche Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.