Arakni, Huntsman at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Harrison Pruitt

66th • 4-4-0

100%

Meta

0.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

2.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wes Schaff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Darin Voight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

2.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.38
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Ethan Davison

74th • 3-5-0

100%

Meta

-1.0

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evan Zumwalt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Montes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs William Payne (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (8/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.75
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Vivien Khamis

dropped • 3-4-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

3.5

Surp

1.3

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Agosto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Gagliardi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (7/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.14
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.71
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.