Battle Hardened Chicago 2025 - Arakni, Huntsman (CC)

Arakni, Huntsman

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Harrison Pruitt

66th • 4-4-0

62%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

3.6

Surp

2.3

Diff

60:40

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Jared Warden (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

25:75

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs May Hayden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 38:62

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Wes Schaff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

40:60

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Darin Voight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

Meta Fit

62% (5/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

3.6 total deviation

Difficulty

2.3 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.09
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.26
R4	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	40%	Loss	✗	0.38	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Win	✗	0.61	1.01
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.91

Ethan Davison

74th • 3-5-0

75%

Meta

-1.3

Perf

4.0

Surp

1.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Evan Zumwalt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Cristopher Allen (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 39:61

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 53:47

55:45

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Montes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs William Payne (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.3 Wins (4.3 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

4.0 total deviation

Difficulty

1.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Win	✓	0.39	0.18
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-
R4	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.45
R5	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R6	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.83
R7	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R8	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Vivien Khamis

dropped • 3-4-0

71%

Meta

-0.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

1.8

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 71:29

60:40

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

55:45

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Christian Agosto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 47:53

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Madelyn Machado (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 26:74, underdog victory

55:45

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47

60:40

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Justin Gagliardi (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset

Meta Fit

71% (5/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

1.8 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.07
R2	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-
R3	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Win	✓	0.47	0.39
R4	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	25%	Win	✗	0.74	1.37
R6	CC	Arakni, Marionette	55%	Loss	✓	0.53	-
R7	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	60%	Loss	✓	0.61	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.