Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.5
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
32nd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 69:31
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Agosto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
51st • 4-3-1
38%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Win vs Caden Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rodrigo Lopez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Logel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robert Marsack (Dash I/O) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
38% (3/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Robles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carl Handley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 69:31
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Vivien Khamis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Duda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 74:26, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
25%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs wilson guo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 21:79
Round 2: Loss vs John Garcia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.