Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
7 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
17th • 6-2-0
50%
Meta
+2.4
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Lucas Barding (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
32nd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Christopher Van Meter (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Agosto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tyler Mitchell (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 80:20
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 75:25
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
51st • 4-3-1
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
Round 3: Win vs Caden Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Rodrigo Lopez (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Logel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 51:49
Round 7: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Robert Marsack (Dash I/O) - Expected: 40:60
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Draw |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
71%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 5: Loss vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.7
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Jaszczur (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Robles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Carl Handley (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Adam Cook (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Griffin Arnold (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yasunari Sakuma (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Vivien Khamis (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Loss vs Evan Duda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
1.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs wilson guo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 19:81
Round 2: Loss vs John Garcia (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathon Harty (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Walker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.