Kano, Dracai of Aether

Kano, Dracai of Aether

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

61st 4-4-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.6
Diff
Arakni, Huntsman
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Dorinthea Ironsong
!
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 86:14
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Franche Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Puffin, Hightail
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Collins-Dowden (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 38:62
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bryan Heffner (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 56:44
Prism, Awakener of Sol
!!
10:90
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Michael Shen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 12:88, underdog victory
dropped 2-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Fang, Dracai of Blades
!!
80:20
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Montes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Ackley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 56:44
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
!!
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Kanofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None ()
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Shane Gabel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 60:40

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.