FaB-Results
Puffin, Hightail

Puffin, Hightail

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Michael Collins-Dowden
10th • 6-2-0
38%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
4.0
Diff
Prism, Awakener of Sol
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 65:35
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!!
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 23:77, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Kano, Dracai of Aether
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 62:38
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Logan King (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Hamilton Summer
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 29:71
Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shane Gabel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Millar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 52:48
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Reichert (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Martin Bantchev (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.