Kayo, Armed and Dangerous
5 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
76th • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Martin Bantchev (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Miller (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cam Dayton (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Patrick Donnan (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Wes Schaff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
83rd • 3-5-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.1
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jordan Vonderwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 49:51
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs David Ackley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
Round 5: Loss vs Trevor Galligan (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Caden Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
50% (4/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 80% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-6-0
14%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Hamilton Summer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 34:66
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trevor White (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Caden Robinson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 47:53
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Trent Sipes (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
14% (1/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
20%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Moiz Hasan (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Warden (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Leah Panitz (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Darin Voight (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
0.7
Surp
0.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 26:74
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Robert Marsack (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (0.7 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.