Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
15 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 9-2-0
82%
Meta
+3.1
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Raposo (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Miller (Valda, Seismic Impact) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Andre Thomas (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
82% (9/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Valda, Seismic Impact | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
3rd • 8-2-0
90%
Meta
+2.5
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wes Schaff (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jordan Vonderwell (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Leimenstoll (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Austin Scherer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jacob Clements (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Franche Tan (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs David Bruner (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Jo Burch (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
13th • 6-2-0
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
3.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Amy Hazel (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Robinson (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Evan Duda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Lucas Birch (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
15th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
Round 2: Loss vs Brandon Ejupi (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Werner (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Millar (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Duane Flier (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
43rd • 5-3-0
88%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ryan Solava (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joe Robles (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kristopher Kraemer (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 48:52
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Reese Sydenstricker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Christian Agosto (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Montes (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
48th • 4-4-0
88%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Summer Giles (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Johnson (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs David Reitenbach (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Grant Huddleston (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Round 7: Loss vs Devin McAtee (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (4.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
56th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TJ Saenz (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jeffrey Mazar (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Carter Hulse (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Shen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Duda (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Logan King (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
62nd • 4-4-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jacob Pritchard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Angel Fernandez (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs wilson guo (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Samuel Van Winkle (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (2/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
73rd • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
4.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Mena (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dalton Nida (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Shen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Samuel Van Winkle (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Zumwalt (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Harrison Pruitt (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
75th • 3-5-0
62%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dan Mui (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Bryan Andersen (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan May (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs David Ackley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Samuel Van Winkle (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 41:59
Round 7: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
82nd • 3-5-0
75%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eugene C (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Round 2: Loss vs Reese Sydenstricker (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Kanofsky (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, Huntsman) - Expected: 47:53
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs William Payne (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeffery Frahm (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Andrew Gullicks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Huntsman | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Kai Pickett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jacob Pritchard (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jonathan Walker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Samuel-Shane Cooper (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Martin Bantchev (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Loss vs Dennis Guinn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Thao Lopez (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs April May (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Wesley Robinson (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Arjun Garg (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chris Dewey (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Bea Budnik (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Ben Miller (Dash I/O) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Sean Gray (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dalton Nida (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.