Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Van Meter

91st • 1-6-1

75%

Meta

-2.7

Perf

3.7

Surp

0.5

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kate Phelps (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Gullicks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.7 Wins (3.7 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.29	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.43	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Reese Sydenstricker

dropped • 2-3-0

100%

Meta

-0.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

1.0

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Martinez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.40
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.60
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Wesley Robinson

dropped • 1-4-0

100%

Meta

-1.5

Perf

2.5

Surp

0.2

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dalton Nida (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Jamrozik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hamilton Summer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Shen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

Meta Fit

100% (5/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

2.5 total deviation

Difficulty

0.2 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.20
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.