Marlynn, Treasure Hunter at Battle Hardened Chicago 2025

Marlynn, Treasure Hunter

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Christopher Van Meter

91st • 1-6-1

25%

Meta

-2.1

Perf

3.0

Surp

0.4

Diff

50:50

R1 CC

Round 1: Draw vs Chase Reiser (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 48:52

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Alex Cassidy (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 31:69

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Lee Kimball (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 46:54

55:45

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Kate Phelps (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Trent Lewis (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 46:54

20:80

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Andrew Gullicks (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 22:78

20:80

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Logan Barnes (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 22:78

40:60

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Matthew Wier (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 39:61

Meta Fit

25% (2/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-2.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

3.0 total deviation

Difficulty

0.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

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Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Draw	✓	0.48	-
R2	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R3	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	55%	Win	✓	0.44	0.42
R5	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R6	CC	Kassai of the Golden Sand	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R7	CC	Arakni, Marionette	20%	Loss	✗	0.22	-
R8	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	40%	Loss	✗	0.39	-

Reese Sydenstricker

dropped • 2-3-0

Meta

+0.3

Perf

2.2

Surp

1.4

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Terpstra (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 37:63

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

40:60

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Nathaniel Brower (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 40:60

25:75

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Jason Chan (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 23:77

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Gabriel Martinez (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

Meta Fit

0% (0/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

2.2 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	35%	Loss	✗	0.37	-
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.60
R3	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	40%	Win	✗	0.60	0.79
R4	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	25%	Loss	✗	0.23	-
R5	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-

Wesley Robinson

dropped • 1-4-0

40%

Meta

-1.2

Perf

1.7

Surp

0.1

Diff

70:30

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dalton Nida (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 71:29

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Liam Donnelly (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Bradley Jamrozik (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 36:64

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Hamilton Summer (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 48:52

25:75

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Michael Shen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 26:74

Meta Fit

40% (2/5 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.7 total deviation

Difficulty

0.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Rhinar, Reckless Rampage	70%	Win	✓	0.29	0.10
R2	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R3	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Puffin, Hightail	50%	Loss	✓	0.48	-
R5	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	25%	Loss	✗	0.26	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.