Cindra, Dracai of Retribution at National Championship 2025 - Japan
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
5th • 9-4-0
69%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
6.2
Surp
3.3
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R13 CC
Round 13: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
69% (9/13 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R11 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R13 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
11th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.9
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yudai Shimizu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (6.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
12th • 8-4-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs ユウマ ハマザト (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Round 6: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 11: Win vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R5 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
15th • 8-4-0
58%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuichi Oshima (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 優輝 大野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yudai Shimizu (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (6.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
32nd • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
3.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kei kimura (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Round 9: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R12 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
35th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
6.2
Surp
4.6
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takeji Furugen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs 智彰 吉村 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs 優輝 大野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 9: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (5.9 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
6.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
42nd • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
2.3
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Koki Mori (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 44:56
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
43rd • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
-0.0
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takaaki Ueno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs masaru okuda (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
46th • 6-6-0
92%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
5.6
Surp
2.6
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Hatta Rin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Round 6: Loss vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yutaro Yamada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (6.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R12 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
49th • 6-6-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
5.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs KOHEI TAKANO (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiki Higa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 37:63
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 優輝 大野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (6.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R11 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 優輝 大野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ken Sawada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Round 3: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
Round 6: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.7
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 44:56
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 寿樹也 菅野 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 33:67
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 59:41
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 80:20
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 68:32
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kei kimura (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yusuke Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 77:23
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 拓朗 平岡 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 42:58
Round 5: Loss vs Tomoya Ohta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
50%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 拓朗 平岡 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Akihiro Takano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 38:62
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.