Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire at National Championship 2025 - Japan
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
50th • 6-6-0
58%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
5.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 智彰 吉村 (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 20:80
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 55:45
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
58% (7/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 55% | Win |
| R11 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 40% | Win |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.