Kassai of the Golden Sand at National Championship 2025

Kassai of the Golden Sand

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Yusuke Maeda

45th • 6-6-0

42%

Meta

+0.4

Perf

5.2

Surp

2.5

Diff

35:65

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

35:65

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory

35:65

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Ken Sawada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

35:65

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs haruka sonoda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64

60:40

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs ryutaro Doi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

50:50

R8 CC

Round 8: Win vs タカユキアサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

50:50

R9 CC

Round 9: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

30:70

R10 CC

Round 10: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70

50:50

R11 CC

Round 11: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

85:15

R12 CC

Round 12: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 83:17

Meta Fit

42% (5/12 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.4 Wins (5.6 expected, 6 actual)

Surprise

5.2 total deviation

Difficulty

2.5 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R2	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Win	✗	0.64	0.24
R3	CC	Fang, Dracai of Blades	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Win	✗	0.53	0.37
R5	CC	Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X	35%	Loss	✗	0.36	-
R6	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.35
R7	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Win	✗	0.55	0.67
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Win	✓	0.49	0.65
R9	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R10	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R11	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R12	CC	Ira, Scarlet Revenger	85%	Win	✓	0.17	0.26

hirotsugu shimauchi

dropped • 2-5-0

57%

Meta

-1.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.4

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs ユウマハマザト (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)

50:50

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs 岡西達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)

45:55

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs kei kimura (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53

45:55

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Tatsuaki Tsuchida (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)

Meta Fit

57% (4/7 favorable matchups)

Performance

-1.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.4 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Betsy, Skin in the Game	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-
R3	CC	Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.43
R4	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	45%	Loss	✗	0.47	-
R5	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R6	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R7	CC	Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn	50%	Win	✓	0.50	1.00

Akihiro Takano

dropped • 2-2-0

75%

Meta

-0.1

Perf

1.8

Surp

1.0

Diff

45:55

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Koki Mori (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs None (Unknown)

60:40

R3 CC

Round 3: Win vs 寿樹也菅野 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38

50:50

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49

Meta Fit

75% (3/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

1.0 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter	45%	Loss	✗	0.45	-
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.50
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	60%	Win	✓	0.38	0.53
R4	CC	Verdance, Thorn of the Rose	50%	Loss	✓	0.51	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.