Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
10 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuta Maruo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taiki Koike (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
Round 8: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs ユウマ ハマザト (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Draw vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R11 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R12 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Draw |
20th • 7-5-0
50%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
5.2
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kazuhiro maeda (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiki Mizutani (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ryota Kitanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 8: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 11: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (6.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R11 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
23rd • 7-5-0
67%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
5.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs ユウマ ハマザト (Betsy, Skin in the Game) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 8: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yukihiko Ikeda (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Betsy, Skin in the Game | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
53rd • 5-7-0
50%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
6.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takaaki Ueno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs ryotaro takashima (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuki Itabashi (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 和佳 倉田 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs KOTA SANJO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs KENSUKE BESSHO (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 12: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (6/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (6.2 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
6.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
54th • 5-7-0
75%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
5.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Keisuke Iwamura (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Akihiro Takano (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Round 5: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yusuke Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
75% (9/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (6.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R11 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R12 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
57th • 4-8-0
33%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
5.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs K. Tanaka (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 6: Loss vs Taiki Koike (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kei kimura (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
Round 10: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
33% (4/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
5.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R12 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 4-6-0
60%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
4.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 根本 正尭 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 52:48
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Ran Sasaki (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (5.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Loss |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yoshiki Higa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs タカヤ スギモト (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 67:33
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-6-0
67%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
4.7
Surp
1.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Takeji Furugen (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yoshiki Higa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-5-0
43%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.