FaB-Results

Dash I/O at National Championship 2025 - Japan

Dash I/O

Dash I/O

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

RYO YAMADA
2nd • 11-4-0
73%
Meta
+3.0
Perf
7.0
Surp
5.5
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 和佳 倉田 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 岡西 達也 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs shoma yamamura (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kazuaki Fukui (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Fang, Dracai of Blades
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tomoya Ohta (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 75:25
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Taiki Koike (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 55:45
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs 優輝 大野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R13 CC
Round 13: Win vs Masaru Sasaki (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Dorinthea Ironsong
50:50
R14 CC
Round 14: Win vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 52:48
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
35:65
R15 CC
Round 15: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66
Gaia Enomoto
19th • 8-4-0
75%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
6.1
Surp
4.6
Diff
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs 秀太 栗原 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Puffin, Hightail
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
Kano, Dracai of Aether
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Dash I/O
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Keita Arai (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 47:53
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
65:35
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 65:35
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
35:65
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs motohiro makigano (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Tsuyoshi Kaji
39th • 6-6-0
83%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
5.8
Surp
2.4
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Connor Leverton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs 颯 小嶺 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 64:36
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Koki Mori (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 59:41
Arakni, Marionette
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 53:47
Puffin, Hightail
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 44:56
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 60:40
Dash I/O
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Gaia Enomoto (Dash I/O) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs KAZUMA SUZUKI (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs 稜馬 石川 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
40:60
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 42:58
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 59:41

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.