Azalea, Ace in the Hole
8 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
58th • 4-8-0
67%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
5.7
Surp
2.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Shuto Ushiro (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs FUKUHARA RYOU (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs 祥弘 橋本 (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yoshiki Higa (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 34:66
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kei Igarashi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ken Sawada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (5.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
5.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
61st • 3-9-0
67%
Meta
-3.0
Perf
5.9
Surp
1.8
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKUYA KOJIMA (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tsuyoshi Kaji (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Takaaki Ueno (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yutaro Yamada (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R11
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs None (Unknown)
50:50
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (8/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
-3.0 Wins (6.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
5.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Win |
| R10 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R11 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-7-0
60%
Meta
-2.1
Perf
4.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Hiroaki Miyamura (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kohei Okuda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Okamoto Natsuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yusuke Maeda (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kei furuta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Connor Leverton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
35:65
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Keisuke Iwamura (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
Round 10: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.1 Wins (5.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R10 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 3-7-0
60%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
4.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 優輝 大野 (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 52:48
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs RYO YAMADA (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs RICARDO DIAZ (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
Round 8: Loss vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
35:65
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
45:55
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R10 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-7-0
90%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
4.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs suguru ishimaru (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ryutaro Doi (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Yuichi Oshima (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs humiaki hattori (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Masato Umeki (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
90% (9/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (5.3 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
43%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuto Suzuki (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 43:57
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Daisuke Nakashima (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Takahito Natsume (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Connor Leverton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kei furuta (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
80%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Takumi Watanabe (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Masaru Yoshizawa (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 35:65
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Hiroki Saito (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
75%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuya Murakami (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yusuke Miki (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.