FaB-Results

Prism, Awakener of Sol at National Championship 2025 - Japan

Prism, Awakener of Sol

Prism, Awakener of Sol

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Kazuki Itabashi
14th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.2
Perf
5.3
Surp
4.1
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Yuta Maruo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 63:37
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs tomoya kitagawa (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Terukazu Goshima (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 62:38
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs katsuya kawai (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs GAICHI YAMADA (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 20:80
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
!
35:65
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Soya Okuda (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Fang, Dracai of Blades
70:30
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31
Masaru Yoshizawa
dropped • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
Riptide, Lurker of the Deep
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs TAKEYUKI MATSUBARA (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 52:48
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Marshal Meador (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs ryotaro takashima (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 45:55
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yusuke Mizuno (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Dorinthea Ironsong
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Kyoshiro Takegahara (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 45:55
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 35:65
Arakni, Marionette
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 47:53
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ken Sawada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Yuuki Nada (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.