FaB-Results

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous at National Championship 2025 - Japan

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

Kayo, Armed and Dangerous

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

kouji hamada
16th • 8-4-0
42%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
5.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
Vynnset, Iron Maiden
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Keisuke Oki (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 50:50
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hatta Rin (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
!
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs haruka sonoda (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs 岡本 一朗 (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryosuke Urase (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
Fang, Dracai of Blades
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Kenji Enomoto (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 52:48
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs kazuma kuwahara (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 43:57
Ira, Scarlet Revenger
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shou Miyahara (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 61:39
Kano, Dracai of Aether
!
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs yohei ohki (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 40:60, underdog victory
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Xavier McLean (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
55:45
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs TSUNAKI SAWAI (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Takaaki Ueno
dropped • 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 45:55
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yusuke Asama (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 36:64
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Yuji Okita (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 29:71
Arakni, Marionette
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kei iikubo (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 42:58
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Hiromitsu Okita (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 61:39
Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Yoshiki Inada (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 32:68
Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryota Kitanaka (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.