Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn

2 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

dropped 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Cindra, Dracai of Retribution
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs 根本 正尭 (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 38:62
Azalea, Ace in the Hole
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kazuhiro Watanabe (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
Marlynn, Treasure Hunter
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs 颯 小嶺 (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs TAIHEI OGAMI (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 38:62
Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs タカユキ アサヒナ (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 18:82
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Mason Galvan (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
dropped 2-5-0
29%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs shoma yamamura (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Yoshiaki Okamoto (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 38:62
Fang, Dracai of Blades
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kento Inagaki (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 27:73
Levia, Shadowborn Abomination
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs TOMOKI KAJIWARA (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Gen Shinohara (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (2 matches)
Rhinar, Reckless Rampage
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs シンヤ カワグチ (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 37:63
Kassai of the Golden Sand
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs hirotsugu shimauchi (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 32:68

Legend

Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
Minor Surprise (10-19%)
!!
Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.