Florian, Rotwood Harbinger
34 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 9-2-0
45%
Meta
+4.0
Perf
5.6
Surp
5.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brady Hayes (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Win vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Elias Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
Round 10: Win vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R11 CC
Round 11: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Meta Fit
45% (5/11 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 9 actual)
Surprise
5.6 total deviation
Difficulty
5.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R11 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
16th • 7-2-0
22%
Meta
+2.9
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Win vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cooper Templeton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Evan Ford (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Elias Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
24th • 6-3-0
56%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kris Ilich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Round 3: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
80:20
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 8: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (4.9 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
33rd • 6-3-0
22%
Meta
+2.7
Perf
3.9
Surp
4.5
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Addison Barrett (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Round 4: Win vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Niels Kornerup (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marit Franks (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31
Round 7: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 8: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
15:85
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
39th • 6-3-0
44%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
5.0
Surp
4.2
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Rothermel (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Hayslip (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jonathan Underwood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 5: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
54th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs anthony Petrillo (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Craig Ketchum (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
15:85
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mint Carroll (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Joshua Rath (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 9: Loss vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R5 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
70th • 4-5-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.3
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs None (Unknown)
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs nicklas starland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
72nd • 4-5-0
33%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
3.6
Surp
1.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Wilhite (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs george flete (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Clayton (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Hickman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
80:20
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jake Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
75:25
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R8 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R9 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
74th • 3-6-0
44%
Meta
-1.7
Perf
3.4
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Naib Mobassir (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Steven Caraher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Crowley (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
15:85
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
80:20
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jake Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
Round 9: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.7 Wins (4.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R7 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
76th • 3-6-0
56%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Robert Marsack (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
Round 3: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Luis Robles (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 6: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
15:85
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs nicklas starland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (4.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Dash I/O | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Lule (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 76:24
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Round 7: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (4.0 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.6
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Addison Barrett (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Round 6: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Bennett Robinson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 5: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (3.6 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 3-2-1
67%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Joe Santianna (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dylan Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan Underwood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Draw |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs James Weeton (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Carter Wenz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-4-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Caden Stabler (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jordan Blankenship (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Joshua Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.0
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 72:28
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
15:85
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs None (Unknown)
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Rutkowski (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
Round 5: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs John Tucker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 82:18
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Taylor Stuhr (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Manuel Curiel (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caio Felipe Antonangelo (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Round 5: Loss vs Benjamin Schneider (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.2
Surp
2.7
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Michael Parker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Raymond Ciannello (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.2 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs STEVEN HAWKER (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Brandon Stolzer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 15:85
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Matt Muus (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randall Suliga (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua White (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jake Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 78:22
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 80% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.5
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jean Negron (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs John Paul Kilcrease (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 46:54
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Geoff Walter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 42:58
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gavin Siegrist (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.1
Diff
80:20
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 79:21
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 30:70
Round 3: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 80% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Bowar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Nathan Burns (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Matt Muus (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Erick Avila (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Max McLean (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Underwood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.