Verdance, Thorn of the Rose
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
15th • 7-2-0
44%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
3.4
Surp
2.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Edward Schoenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Caleb Brower (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Benjamin Schneider (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
31st • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Lule (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs nicklas starland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
48th • 5-4-0
67%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Randall Suliga (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Jose Badillo (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dylan Wilhite (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
30:70
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nicholas Mihalas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34
Round 8: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
62%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Thunderhill (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
3.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Brandon Green (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 68:32
Round 6: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
43%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.8
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Craig Ketchum (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 70:30
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Josh Norton (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Win vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
Round 7: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Round 2: Win vs William Pearlman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
80:20
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 81:19
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tyler Thunderhill (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 80% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.7
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Zak Miller (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Chester Stallings (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
60%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.7
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Yuki Lee Bender (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Zeni Ragsdale (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
Round 5: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Myles Schortgen (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
75:25
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Casey Russell (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Hasan Abdali (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Matthew Crowley (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 61:39
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 57:43
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-0
40%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs John Tucker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nitan Avivi-Stuhl (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 29:71
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Celeste Beltz (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tyler Dumansky (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.9
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Alexander Vore (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.0
Diff
25:75
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 24:76
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jason Irons (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 25% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
100%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Kenneth Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 76:24, favorite upset
Round 2: Loss vs Tyler Thunderhill (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 75:25, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
0.8
Surp
0.0
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 43:57
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (0.8 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
0%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
0.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
0% (0/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (0.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.