Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter at Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025
Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 12-0-0
100%
Meta
+4.6
Perf
4.6
Surp
4.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
100% (12/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.6 Wins (7.4 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
4.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
5th • 8-2-0
70%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.0
Surp
3.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Berg (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
75:25
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
64th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
4.1
Surp
2.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Morris (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Kuhn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
25:75
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Craig Ketchum (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Geiger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Round 6: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
Round 7: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.0
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (4.4 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.6
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danielle Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71, underdog victory
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
25:75
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
25:75
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 27:73
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 25% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.1
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 29:71
75:25
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Salvador Morales (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 25% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-1
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Goomroyan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 65:35
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Matt Muus (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Win vs george flete (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (9 matches)
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.0
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Devin Sather (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
0%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
1.9
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gavin Siegrist (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Alexandar Shi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
0% (0/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 77:23, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Bridges (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 50:50
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.1
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Round 3: Win vs Addison Barrett (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandar Shi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 57:43
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Berg (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Underwood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tessa Miller (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Robert Cutler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Blake Freeman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs andrew weas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 32:68
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 57:43
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Torres (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Tout (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 37:63
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ronnie Lloyd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.