Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter
26 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
1st • 12-0-0
92%
Meta
+4.7
Perf
4.7
Surp
4.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
65:35
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Christopher Little (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30
60:40
R12 CC
Round 12: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Meta Fit
92% (11/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+4.7 Wins (7.3 expected, 12 actual)
Surprise
4.7 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R9 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Win |
| R10 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R11 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Win |
| R12 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
5th • 8-2-0
80%
Meta
+2.6
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Berg (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Rich Pauls (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 10: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
80% (8/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
64th • 4-5-0
44%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tom Morris (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs sean Burke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dennis Kuhn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Round 5: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Craig Ketchum (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 5-2-0
57%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Noah Geiger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
Round 3: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Round 4: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Round 6: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (3.3 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
100%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.1
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cavin Saravanan (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Natasha Yocum (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (7/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (4.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R6 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
33%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
3.0
Surp
2.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs None (Unknown)
Round 2: Win vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Danielle Williams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 5: Win vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
33% (2/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Win |
| R6 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 3-3-0
50%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Doug Frauman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 22:78
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (2.4 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tegan Smerdon (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (3.1 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-1
80%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 34:66
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Salvador Morales (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Colin Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (2.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.9
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Colin Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 45:55
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 2-1-1
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Peter Goomroyan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Draw vs Matt Muus (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Round 4: Win vs george flete (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Draw |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Andrew Henderson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
Round 3: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
Round 4: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Devin Sather (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Rhea Adams (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Luke Manship (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 4: Win vs Maxwell Taylor (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65, underdog victory
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gavin Siegrist (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Magnuson (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 51:49
Round 3: Win vs Alexandar Shi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tyler Stammer (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (1.7 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
35:65
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Bridges (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Arocha-Coard (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 70:30, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R3 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.1
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elyse Symmes (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
Round 2: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Addison Barrett (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (1.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Alexandar Shi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 37:63
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Raheel Khalid (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Edwards (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 68:32
Round 3: Loss vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Austin Somers (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Michael Berg (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Underwood (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
1.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jamie Foster (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tessa Miller (Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate) - Expected: 49:51
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Teklovossen, Esteemed Magnate | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-1
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Draw vs Robert Cutler (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Blake Freeman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs andrew weas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 35:65
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Draw |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Michael Rutkowski (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jake Torres (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 59:41
35:65
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jared Tout (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 33:67
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
1.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Alexander McPherson (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.2
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Ronnie Lloyd (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.2 Wins (1.2 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.4
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.0
Diff
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 70% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.