Kassai of the Golden Sand at Battle Hardened: Las Vegas 2025
Kassai of the Golden Sand
6 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
27th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.8
Surp
1.8
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ovas Siddiqui (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Steven Caraher (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
25:75
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
Round 9: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 70% | Loss |
44th • 6-3-0
78%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.5
Surp
3.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
Round 2: Win vs andrew weas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joshua Phillips (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 62:38
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 57:43
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
Round 6: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tommy Garnett (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.5 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 30% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 50% | Win |
58th • 5-4-0
22%
Meta
+1.1
Perf
4.2
Surp
3.1
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Aaron Enos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 36:64
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 47:53
Round 3: Win vs Brian Kaliszak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 69:31
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Stephen Leany (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 45:55
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 36:64
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 9: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
Meta Fit
22% (2/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 35% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R8 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 35% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Zach Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 31:69
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alan Rogers (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 25:75
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Bowar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.8
Surp
1.3
Diff
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 25% | Win |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marcus Queen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.