Prism, Awakener of Sol
21 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
19th • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.6
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.0
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Victor Mercado (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Phillip Starnes (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marcus Queen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 7: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.6 Wins (5.4 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
22nd • 7-2-0
78%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.2
Surp
4.0
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nicholas Brown (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Erick Avila (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 7: Win vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Will Rea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
45:55
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
4.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R9 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
35th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.4
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.9
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Andrew Watkins (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs nicklas starland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Sophia Claire (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
41st • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
4.0
Surp
3.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jeff Porter (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
Round 4: Win vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
85:15
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Round 7: Loss vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Round 9: Win vs Justin Kinison (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (4.8 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
3.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
50th • 5-4-0
44%
Meta
+0.6
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Luis Cisneros (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Shawn Adams (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 43:57
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
85:15
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Round 7: Win vs Gavin Ceballos (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Round 9: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
44% (4/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.6 Wins (4.4 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 45% | Win |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R7 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R9 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
60th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
4.2
Surp
1.8
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Long (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Will Rea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 3: Win vs Nathan Burns (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Michael Parker (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
Round 7: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
85:15
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (5.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R8 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R9 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
dropped • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
3.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Round 2: Win vs Alexandar Shi (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (4.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.8
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Matthew Harris (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs andrew weas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Daniel Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
83%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.6
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Kindberg (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Kaylum Uribes (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Jaylon Jones (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Round 5: Loss vs William Bodo (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
20%
Meta
+1.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
2.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Fernandes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 4: Win vs JONATHAN HENLEY (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78, underdog victory
20:80
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Edward Schoenberg (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
20% (1/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
2.5
Surp
1.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Abigail Welday (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 3: Win vs Blake Freeman (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 37:63, underdog victory
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Adam Fischer (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 35% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.6
Surp
1.2
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
Round 2: Loss vs Carlos Cruz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Dylan Wilhite (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jordan Blankenship (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 22:78
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs John Tucker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.6 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 20% | Loss |
| R5 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-4-0
100%
Meta
-1.9
Perf
2.9
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs andrew weas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Round 2: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Kaliszak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (5/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.9 Wins (2.9 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.4
Perf
2.0
Surp
1.3
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Barrett Goss (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs John Tucker (Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.4 Wins (2.4 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Ser Boltyn, Breaker of Dawn | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
0.7
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs sean Burke (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14, favorite upset
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Lawton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38
Round 4: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (2.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Loss |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.9
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nomi Lynn (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Alexander Jeffs (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Dylan Williamson (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (1.8 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.8
Surp
0.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Lee Kimball (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 4: Loss vs Brian Hoffman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 67:33, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
+0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.9
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Fullingim (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 65:35
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Luke Putz (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jose Santos martinez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.1 Wins (1.9 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Lawton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 67:33
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (1.8 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs John Kim (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Daniel Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Roberto Busnelli (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 0-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
0.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Valerio Guercio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (1/1 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (0.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.