Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
18th • 7-2-0
89%
Meta
+2.3
Perf
4.4
Surp
4.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nick Yaksich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Ravi Sharma (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
Round 6: Win vs Ian Siczewicz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 15:85, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.4 total deviation
Difficulty
4.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Win |
| R7 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
45th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.5
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Collin Cromwell (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dennis Kuhn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 65:35
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Michael Hamilton (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 5: Loss vs Lucas Molho (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Benjamin Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Valerio Guercio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Ryan Pitcher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs andrew weas (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
56th • 5-4-0
78%
Meta
-0.8
Perf
3.5
Surp
1.4
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Round 2: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 71:29, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
85:15
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Tom Morris (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Marcus Queen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 73:27
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Trace Winborn (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
78% (7/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.8 Wins (5.8 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.5 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 70% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R6 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
57th • 5-4-0
56%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Mara Faris (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Salvador Morales (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Valerio Guercio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonathan Oshiro (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jake Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Alexander Burnett (Dash I/O) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (4.5 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R6 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 45% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
63rd • 5-4-0
100%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
4.6
Surp
3.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nathanael Hunt (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 2: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colton Branch (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Greenleaf (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Nick Yaksich (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Addison Woodward-Parrish (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Patrick Nelson (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (3 matches)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jake Landaiche (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
4.6 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
65th • 4-5-0
56%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.5
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Adam Hamilton-Sutherland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Logan King (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
30:70
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Brian Hoffman (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 72:28
15:85
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
56% (5/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R7 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R9 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
57%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
3.3
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Nik Dinnis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Landaiche (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jesse Hudak (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
45:55
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Elaine Cao (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (3.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-5-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.2
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Caleb Brower (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 3: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Joe Canton Encarnacion (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (6/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (3.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R3 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 65% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
40%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.3
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Emilio Lopez (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Florin-Cristian Loghin (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Tommy Buljan (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (2.2 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.2
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Austin Henry (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Taotao Chu (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 51:49
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Steve Halloran (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Matthew Kuhn (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (2.7 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R5 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
60%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.5
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Max McLean (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Carter Barton (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Eric Towne (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs MOISES LOPEZ (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Valerio Guercio (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
60% (3/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
| R5 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.4
Surp
0.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Sebastian Anaya (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Alex Slotnick (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
15:85
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 15:85
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R4 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
2.0
Surp
0.4
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brenden Jones (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jake Bowar (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Pierre-Nicolas Perrin (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.6
Diff
30:70
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Charlie Herren (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 29:71
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Nathaniel Lansangan (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 15:85
60:40
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
Round 4: Loss vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 30% | Loss |
| R2 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
100%
Meta
-0.7
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.5
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Julian Sniffen (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jacob Neet (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 58:42
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Austin Kim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (3/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.7 Wins (1.7 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Dexter Simmons (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Peter Goomroyan (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 43:57
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
0%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
0.6
Surp
0.0
Diff
15:85
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 15:85
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 46:54
Meta Fit
0% (0/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (0.6 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 15% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: 83:17, favorite upset
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jordan Blankenship (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 85% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 40% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.