Nuu, Alluring Desire
19 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
2nd • 10-2-0
83%
Meta
+3.2
Perf
4.8
Surp
4.2
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Evan Silverman (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jeremy Chen (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
75:25
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
40:60
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
65:35
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Michael Metallo (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R10
R10 CC
Round 10: Win vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R11 CC
Round 11: Win vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R12 CC
Round 12: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
83% (10/12 favorable matchups)
Performance
+3.2 Wins (6.8 expected, 10 actual)
Surprise
4.8 total deviation
Difficulty
4.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R6 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R7 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R10 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Win |
| R11 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R12 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
5th • 7-3-0
70%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.3
Surp
2.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Caden Stabler (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Wesley Chandler (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Zach Johnson (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 4: Win vs Joshua Rath (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
80:20
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Evan Ford (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Brodie Spurlock (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
70% (7/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
2.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R5 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R9 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R10 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
14th • 7-2-0
100%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Steven O'Reilly (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tonin ''Nini'' Veshi (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dien Tran (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Marit Franks (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Matthew Vore (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Melora Cayce (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (5.1 expected, 7 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
28th • 6-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.2
Diff
90:10
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Justin Fryar (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
Round 2: Loss vs Jonah Overholt (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kris Ilich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Isaac Houk (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Christopher Iaali (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Brandon Stolzer (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (5.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
37th • 6-3-0
89%
Meta
+1.0
Perf
5.1
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Marcus Queen (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Daniel Ferrara (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 5: Loss vs Jonathan (chugs) Moore (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15, favorite upset
Round 7: Win vs Adam Fronsee (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Jose Garcia (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
60:40
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
89% (8/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.0 Wins (5.0 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
5.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R6 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Loss |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
| R8 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Win |
43rd • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+0.7
Perf
3.7
Surp
3.1
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ryan McDougall (Unknown)
15:85
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Chester Stallings (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 14:86
90:10
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Kenneth Thomas (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
Round 4: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 78:22, favorite upset
90:10
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10
Round 6: Win vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Eric Pettinelli (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zachary Adams (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
Round 9: Win vs ALEXANDER HAYDEN (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.7 Wins (5.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
3.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 15% | Loss |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R4 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 80% | Loss |
| R5 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Win |
| R6 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R8 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R9 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Win |
69th • 4-4-1
100%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
4.0
Surp
1.6
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Dylan Tucker (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs george flete (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Logan King (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Rich Pauls (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Draw vs Geoff Walter (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R6
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
55:45
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Chuck Ford (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
55:45
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Raymond Ciannello (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Round 9: Loss vs Joel Grizzelle (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 65:35, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (9/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (5.5 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Draw |
| R6 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R8 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R9 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 5-3-0
75%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
3.9
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Michael Lawton (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Beygelman (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Dexter Simmons (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Yuki Lee Bender (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
75:25
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Tanner Lee (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
R7
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jeff Stamm (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
R8
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Charlton Smith (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R7 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.3
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Andrew Wilborn (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
30:70
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Round 3: Loss vs Jacob Pacheco (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Steve Halloran (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R5
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Michael Dailey (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Patrick Fowley (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.3 Wins (3.7 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R5 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-4-0
71%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.8
Surp
0.8
Diff
75:25
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carlos Daniel Zamora Salazar (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 76:24
65:35
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Groseclose (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Evan Ford (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Corwin Benton (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Joshua Rath (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Justin Kinison (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
30:70
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Bryce Henschel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
71% (5/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (3.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.8 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 75% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
| R7 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
67%
Meta
+0.9
Perf
2.2
Surp
1.4
Diff
70:30
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Aidan Berkel (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Dan Mui (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Derek Anderson (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Jonathan Magnuson (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Colin Turner (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
35:65
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Meta Fit
67% (4/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.9 Wins (3.1 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
2.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
| R5 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
1.6
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Hayslip (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Jake Smith (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
70:30
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Dietz (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (2.6 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R5 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
+0.0
Perf
2.1
Surp
0.8
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jaylon Jones (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Raymond Ciannello (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Marit Franks (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 54:46
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Win |
| R3 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
50%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.6
Surp
0.7
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Dante Irvine (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 85:15
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Thomas Battaglia (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Andrew Singleton (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
30:70
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Marek Meyer (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.6 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Gripkey (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 31:69, underdog victory
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs nicklas starland (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Round 3: Loss vs Orlando Valdes Santos (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32, favorite upset
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 30% | Win |
| R2 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
100%
Meta
-1.6
Perf
2.4
Surp
0.3
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Jon Gibson (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Colin Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38
Round 3: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Puffin, Hightail) - Expected: 90:10, favorite upset
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ethan Davison (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 58:42
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Puffin, Hightail | 90% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.5
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 50:50
Round 2: Loss vs Luis Robles (Dash I/O) - Expected: 73:27, favorite upset
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Marshall (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Round 4: Loss vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.5 Wins (2.5 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 75% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
50%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
35:65
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Joseph McKinley (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 34:66
Round 2: Loss vs Garrett Shustarich (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
Meta Fit
50% (1/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 35% | Loss |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Daniel Winckler (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Craig Ketchum (Katsu, the Wanderer) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Katsu, the Wanderer | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.