Puffin, Hightail
11 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
26th • 6-3-0
33%
Meta
+1.9
Perf
4.0
Surp
2.5
Diff
45:55
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Joshua White (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 45:55
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Brian Kaliszak (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Cornett (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs gabriel ebady (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
40:60
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mike Cortes (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Myles Rightmire (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Timothy Bowar (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
40:60
R9 CC
Round 9: Loss vs Michael Clair (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 38:62
Meta Fit
33% (3/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.9 Wins (4.1 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.0 total deviation
Difficulty
2.5 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 45% | Win |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Win |
| R6 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
| R8 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R9 | Arakni, Marionette | 40% | Loss |
36th • 6-3-0
67%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
4.1
Surp
3.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Christopher Barrios (Bravo, Showstopper) - Expected: Not enough data (1 matches)
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs BENJAMIN ALANIZ (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Aurora Kynkor (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 46:54
75:25
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dexter Phan (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 77:23
Round 5: Win vs Justin Gottlieb (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79, underdog victory
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Jo Burch (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Cullen Roth (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Eric Dauernnheim (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
R9
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Tader Kammeyer (Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)
Meta Fit
67% (6/9 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
3.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Bravo, Showstopper | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Jarl Vetreiði | 45% | Loss |
| R4 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 75% | Win |
| R5 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Win |
| R6 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R9 | Maxx 'The Hype' Nitro | 50% | Win |
dropped • 2-4-0
50%
Meta
-0.2
Perf
2.5
Surp
0.8
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Jason Irons (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76, underdog victory
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Camacho (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
10:90
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 10:90
60:40
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Dennis Kuhn (Marlynn, Treasure Hunter) - Expected: 59:41
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Ynez Nevarez (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
55:45
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Meta Fit
50% (3/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.2 Wins (2.2 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.8 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 10% | Loss |
| R4 | Marlynn, Treasure Hunter | 60% | Win |
| R5 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 2-3-0
40%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
2.4
Surp
2.2
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Wyatt Hicks (Unknown)
Round 2: Loss vs Reuben An (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Round 3: Win vs Phillip Spader (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 10:90, underdog victory
25:75
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Will Rea (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 24:76
10:90
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Dyllon Dietz (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 10:90
Meta Fit
40% (2/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (1.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.4 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 10% | Win |
| R4 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 25% | Loss |
| R5 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 10% | Loss |
dropped • 2-2-0
25%
Meta
+0.5
Perf
1.9
Surp
2.6
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Nicholas Mihalas (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Cameron Cassese (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 46:54
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Mark Wright (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 56:44
Round 4: Win vs Ted Chang (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 25:75, underdog victory
Meta Fit
25% (1/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
2.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 45% | Loss |
| R3 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 25% | Win |
dropped • 2-2-0
75%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.4
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Brandon Hartman (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
85:15
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Aaron Enos (Riptide, Lurker of the Deep) - Expected: 86:14
Round 3: Loss vs Bryce Morgan (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Carlos Alfaro (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (2.1 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Riptide, Lurker of the Deep | 85% | Win |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 60% | Loss |
| R4 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
67%
Meta
-0.5
Perf
1.5
Surp
0.7
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Marsha Ho (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Tracy Reeves (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Round 3: Loss vs AUSTIN BRILL (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 63:37, favorite upset
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.5 Wins (1.5 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.5 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.2
Surp
1.2
Diff
20:80
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Brennan Tolnay (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
45:55
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs kosei chetanna (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 44:56
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 45% | Win |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
1.1
Surp
0.3
Diff
R1
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Anthony Vero Cerenzio (Unknown)
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Raymond Griffin (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
20:80
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Alejandro Burgueño Sanchez (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 21:79
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.1 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 0-3-0
0%
Meta
-0.9
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.0
Diff
10:90
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Elias Brooks (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 10:90
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Shin Inoue (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 39:61
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Daniel Cole (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 42:58
Meta Fit
0% (0/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.9 Wins (0.9 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 10% | Loss |
| R2 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 40% | Loss |
dropped • 0-2-0
100%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
1.0
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Peter Buddensiek (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Noah Geiger (Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter) - Expected: 48:52
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (1.0 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.0 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Gravy Bones, Shipwrecked Looter | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
!
!!
Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.