Prism, Awakener of Sol
18 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
3rd • 8-2-0
60%
Meta
+2.8
Perf
4.3
Surp
3.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Stephen Higgs (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
Round 3: Win vs Jodey Burney (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Anthony LaCassa (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
65:35
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Bryan Nikla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
85:15
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
55:45
R9 CC
Round 9: Win vs Trenton Gutridge (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
40:60
R10 CC
Round 10: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
Meta Fit
60% (6/10 favorable matchups)
Performance
+2.8 Wins (5.2 expected, 8 actual)
Surprise
4.3 total deviation
Difficulty
3.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R9 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R10 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
13th • 6-1-1
75%
Meta
+1.7
Perf
3.8
Surp
2.7
Diff
55:45
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Jacob Smith (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Chandler Payne (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 3: Win vs Seneca Pressley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61, underdog victory
65:35
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs KC Glass (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Fontan (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Joseph Marchant (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Connor Babcock (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
60:40
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.7 Wins (4.3 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.8 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Win |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Draw |
| R5 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R8 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
9th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.8
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Carson Coker (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
70:30
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stephen Helmly (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: 68:32
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Emanuel Corps-Ortiz (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Brandon Lundie (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
65:35
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Nathanael Frautschy (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Michael Smitte (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Paul Chen (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.8 Wins (4.2 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R2 | Azalea, Ace in the Hole | 70% | Win |
| R3 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
14th • 6-2-0
88%
Meta
+1.3
Perf
3.1
Surp
2.2
Diff
85:15
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Mark Murphy (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Drew Walker (Unknown)
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Colin Swisher (Uzuri, Switchblade) - Expected: 42:58
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Christopher Benoit (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs David Andrews (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
85:15
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Evan Dasher (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
Meta Fit
88% (7/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+1.3 Wins (4.7 expected, 6 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
2.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Uzuri, Switchblade | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Win |
| R5 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R8 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
41st • 5-3-0
100%
Meta
+0.4
Perf
3.7
Surp
2.1
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Zachary Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Zack Phillips (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Walter Snowden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kevin Murphy (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Round 7: Loss vs Will Earnhardt (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
70:30
R8 CC
Round 8: Win vs Geoff Walter (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
Meta Fit
100% (8/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.4 Wins (4.6 expected, 5 actual)
Surprise
3.7 total deviation
Difficulty
2.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R6 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R7 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R8 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
57th • 4-4-0
62%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
4.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Cindrah Moore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81, underdog victory
Round 2: Win vs Chase Effler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62, underdog victory
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Trenton Gutridge (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
R4
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Yuanji Li (Unknown)
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Zac Bailey (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
70:30
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: 71:29
40:60
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Dakota Cook (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 41:59
Meta Fit
62% (5/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
4.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Win |
| R2 | Dash I/O | 40% | Win |
| R3 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R4 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Fai, Rising Rebellion | 70% | Win |
| R8 | Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty | 40% | Loss |
59th • 4-4-0
75%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.6
Surp
2.0
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Seneca Pressley (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Ryan Williamson (Unknown)
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Drew Walker (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
60:40
R6 CC
Round 6: Win vs Will Joseph (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Win vs Lilith Duhart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R8 CC
Round 8: Loss vs Naib Mobassir (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
75% (6/8 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.6 total deviation
Difficulty
2.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
| R5 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R7 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
| R8 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-3-0
86%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
3.0
Surp
1.2
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bea Budnik (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mason Brantley (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
65:35
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Raymond Griffin (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Michael Feng (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Michael Smitte (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Anthony Faciane (Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X) - Expected: 50:50
Meta Fit
86% (6/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (3.8 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.0 total deviation
Difficulty
1.2 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Win |
| R4 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R5 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
| R6 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R7 | Arakni, 5L!p3d 7hRu 7h3 cR4X | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 2-5-0
57%
Meta
-1.5
Perf
3.3
Surp
0.7
Diff
60:40
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Bryan Smith (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Anthony Laflamme (Zen, Tamer of Purpose) - Expected: 56:44
Round 3: Loss vs Curtis-Lee Pauley (Fang, Dracai of Blades) - Expected: 69:31, favorite upset
45:55
R4 CC
Round 4: Win vs Abe Geidel (Kassai of the Golden Sand) - Expected: 47:53
Round 5: Loss vs Jacob Johnson (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39, favorite upset
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Thomas Johnson-Averette (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
35:65
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Jasper Hicks (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64
Meta Fit
57% (4/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.5 Wins (3.5 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
3.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R2 | Zen, Tamer of Purpose | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Fang, Dracai of Blades | 70% | Loss |
| R4 | Kassai of the Golden Sand | 45% | Win |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Loss |
dropped • 1-4-2
43%
Meta
-2.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.1
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Brandon King (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
R2
R2 CC
Round 2: Draw vs Stevan Workman (Unknown)
85:15
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Nick Coma (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: 86:14
40:60
R4 CC
Round 4: Draw vs Chris Abel (Ira, Scarlet Revenger) - Expected: 39:61
35:65
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Alex Pennybacker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67
20:80
R6 CC
Round 6: Loss vs Cindrah Moore (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
20:80
R7 CC
Round 7: Loss vs Hunter Street (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
43% (3/7 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.0 Wins (3.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Unknown | 50% | Draw |
| R3 | Kano, Dracai of Aether | 85% | Win |
| R4 | Ira, Scarlet Revenger | 40% | Draw |
| R5 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Loss |
| R6 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
| R7 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 4-2-0
83%
Meta
+0.8
Perf
3.1
Surp
1.6
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Eric Capps (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 34:66, underdog victory
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Mercy Bickell (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Patrick Weiss (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
50:50
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Tori Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
60:40
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs charles singleton (Verdance, Thorn of the Rose) - Expected: 61:39
Round 6: Loss vs Taylor Crawford (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset
Meta Fit
83% (5/6 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.8 Wins (3.2 expected, 4 actual)
Surprise
3.1 total deviation
Difficulty
1.6 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R5 | Verdance, Thorn of the Rose | 60% | Win |
| R6 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Loss |
dropped • 3-2-0
80%
Meta
+0.2
Perf
2.3
Surp
1.4
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Gabriel Beckett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: 62:38
60:40
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Violet Dold (Aurora, Shooting Star) - Expected: 60:40
40:60
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Rose smyth (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
Round 4: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Win vs Charles Siegismund III (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
+0.2 Wins (2.8 expected, 3 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
1.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Aurora, Shooting Star | 60% | Win |
| R3 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
| R5 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Win |
dropped • 1-3-0
50%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
1.9
Surp
0.7
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Timothy Scroggs (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Round 2: Win vs Gary Arreaga (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 36:64, underdog victory
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Barnette (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
20:80
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Mara Faris (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 19:81
Meta Fit
50% (2/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (1.6 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.7 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Florian, Rotwood Harbinger | 35% | Win |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 20% | Loss |
dropped • 1-3-0
75%
Meta
-1.0
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.4
Diff
Round 1: Win vs Alex Pennybacker (Rhinar, Reckless Rampage) - Expected: 33:67, underdog victory
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Tori Lakey (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Christian Ybarra (Unknown)
Round 4: Loss vs Zoe Kelsey (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 66:34, favorite upset
Meta Fit
75% (3/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.0 Wins (2.0 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.4 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Rhinar, Reckless Rampage | 35% | Win |
| R2 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R3 | Unknown | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Nuu, Alluring Desire | 65% | Loss |
dropped • 0-4-0
100%
Meta
-2.3
Perf
2.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs James Pridemore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36, favorite upset
55:45
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Dylan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: 55:45
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Tommy Day (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ryan Miller (Arakni, Marionette) - Expected: 55:45
Meta Fit
100% (4/4 favorable matchups)
Performance
-2.3 Wins (2.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
2.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Loss |
| R2 | Oscilio, Constella Intelligence | 55% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R4 | Arakni, Marionette | 55% | Loss |
dropped • 1-2-0
33%
Meta
-0.3
Perf
1.2
Surp
0.9
Diff
40:60
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Chase Effler (Dash I/O) - Expected: 38:62
40:60
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Samuel Young (Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry) - Expected: 39:61
55:45
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Joseph Davis (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: 53:47
Meta Fit
33% (1/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
1.2 total deviation
Difficulty
0.9 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Dash I/O | 40% | Loss |
| R2 | Enigma, Ledger of Ancestry | 40% | Loss |
| R3 | Dorinthea Ironsong | 55% | Win |
dropped • 0-3-0
67%
Meta
-1.3
Perf
1.3
Surp
0.0
Diff
50:50
R1 CC
Round 1: Loss vs Matthew W (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
25:75
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Kenny Thai (Kayo, Armed and Dangerous) - Expected: 23:77
50:50
R3 CC
Round 3: Loss vs Cody Schellhaas (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 52:48
Meta Fit
67% (2/3 favorable matchups)
Performance
-1.3 Wins (1.3 expected, 0 actual)
Surprise
1.3 total deviation
Difficulty
0.0 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
| R2 | Kayo, Armed and Dangerous | 25% | Loss |
| R3 | Cindra, Dracai of Retribution | 50% | Loss |
dropped • 1-1-0
100%
Meta
-0.1
Perf
0.9
Surp
0.3
Diff
65:35
R1 CC
Round 1: Win vs Ethan Mays (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 64:36
50:50
R2 CC
Round 2: Loss vs Randy Davis (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 50:50 (mirror match)
Meta Fit
100% (2/2 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.1 Wins (1.1 expected, 1 actual)
Surprise
0.9 total deviation
Difficulty
0.3 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
Swipe left to see all columns →
| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Jarl Vetreiði | 65% | Win |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.