Oscilio, Constella Intelligence at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened (CC) - SCG CON Charlotte
Oscilio, Constella Intelligence
1 players • Match results by round
Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations
dropped • 2-3-0
80%
Meta
-0.6
Perf
2.7
Surp
1.1
Diff
Round 1: Loss vs Ian Fraser (Levia, Shadowborn Abomination) - Expected: 62:38, favorite upset
45:55
R2 CC
Round 2: Win vs Stan Jarozewski (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: 45:55
R3
R3 CC
Round 3: Win vs Gabriel Beckett (Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)
55:45
R4 CC
Round 4: Loss vs Ben Hernandez (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 53:47
50:50
R5 CC
Round 5: Loss vs Cody Blackmore (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: 51:49
Meta Fit
80% (4/5 favorable matchups)
Performance
-0.6 Wins (2.6 expected, 2 actual)
Surprise
2.7 total deviation
Difficulty
1.1 difficulty points
Round-by-Round Breakdown
Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display
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| Round | Opponent | Expected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| R1 | Levia, Shadowborn Abomination | 60% | Loss |
| R2 | Prism, Awakener of Sol | 45% | Win |
| R3 | Dash, Inventor Extraordinaire | 50% | Win |
| R4 | Vynnset, Iron Maiden | 55% | Loss |
| R5 | Jarl Vetreiði | 50% | Loss |
Legend
Win
Loss
Draw
Unknown Opponent
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Performance Metrics
Meta
% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.
Perf
Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.
Surp
Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.
Diff
Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.