Levia, Shadowborn Abomination at SAT 0900 Battle Hardened

Levia, Shadowborn Abomination

3 players • Match results by round

Tip: Click any player row to see detailed round-by-round calculations

Ian Fraser

54th • 4-4-0

75%

Meta

+0.1

Perf

4.3

Surp

2.1

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Dylan Brown (Oscilio, Constella Intelligence) - Expected: Not enough data (5 matches)

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Ashlyn Slattery (Fai, Rising Rebellion) - Expected: Not enough data (4 matches)

45:55

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Porter Jones (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Win vs Phillip Spader (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

R5 CC

Round 5: Loss vs Rishabh Chari (Azalea, Ace in the Hole) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R6 CC

Round 6: Loss vs Kyle McKeough (Dorinthea Ironsong) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

R7 CC

Round 7: Win vs Bryan Nikla (Jarl Vetreiði) - Expected: Not enough data (6 matches)

60:40

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs William Nuckolls (Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty) - Expected: 60:40, favorite upset

Meta Fit

75% (6/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

+0.1 Wins (3.9 expected, 4 actual)

Surprise

4.3 total deviation

Difficulty

2.1 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Oscilio, Constella Intelligence	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Fai, Rising Rebellion	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.25
R3	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Loss	✗	0.46	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.87
R5	CC	Azalea, Ace in the Hole	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R6	CC	Dorinthea Ironsong	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R7	CC	Jarl Vetreiði	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.88
R8	CC	Victor Goldmane, High and Mighty	60%	Loss	✓	0.60	-

Michelle Chalmers

79th • 3-5-0

50%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

3.4

Surp

1.6

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Win vs Ryan Williamson (Unknown)

R2 CC

Round 2: Loss vs Shawn Edwards (Unknown)

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Zachary Adams (Nuu, Alluring Desire) - Expected: 31:69

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Lilith Duhart (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

R5 CC

Round 5: Win vs Patric Gigar (Dash I/O) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

45:55

R6 CC

Round 6: Win vs Matt Fox (Vynnset, Iron Maiden) - Expected: 46:54

R7 CC

Round 7: Loss vs Brian Trail (Kano, Dracai of Aether) - Expected: Not enough data (7 matches)

30:70

R8 CC

Round 8: Loss vs Gary Arreaga (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

50% (4/8 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (3.4 expected, 3 actual)

Surprise

3.4 total deviation

Difficulty

1.6 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Unknown	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.12
R2	CC	Unknown	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R3	CC	Nuu, Alluring Desire	30%	Loss	✗	0.31	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R5	CC	Dash I/O	50%	Win	✓	0.50	0.62
R6	CC	Vynnset, Iron Maiden	45%	Win	✗	0.54	0.84
R7	CC	Kano, Dracai of Aether	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R8	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Eric Capps

dropped • 1-3-0

25%

Meta

-0.4

Perf

1.8

Surp

0.9

Diff

R1 CC

Round 1: Loss vs Walter Snowden (Prism, Awakener of Sol) - Expected: Not enough data (8 matches)

30:70

R2 CC

Round 2: Win vs Christopher Moyer (Florian, Rotwood Harbinger) - Expected: 30:70, underdog victory

30:70

R3 CC

Round 3: Loss vs Janine Dack (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

30:70

R4 CC

Round 4: Loss vs Charles Siegismund III (Cindra, Dracai of Retribution) - Expected: 30:70

Meta Fit

25% (1/4 favorable matchups)

Performance

-0.4 Wins (1.4 expected, 1 actual)

Surprise

1.8 total deviation

Difficulty

0.9 difficulty points

Round-by-Round Breakdown

Win probabilities rounded to nearest 5% for consistency with match display

Swipe left to see all columns →

Round	Format	Opponent	Expected	Result	Meta	Surprise	Difficulty
R1	CC	Prism, Awakener of Sol	50%	Loss	✓	0.50	-
R2	CC	Florian, Rotwood Harbinger	30%	Win	✗	0.70	0.87
R3	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-
R4	CC	Cindra, Dracai of Retribution	30%	Loss	✗	0.30	-

Legend

Win

Loss

Draw

Unknown Opponent

Minor Surprise (10-19%)

Major Surprise (≥20%)

Performance Metrics

Meta

% of rounds where the historical win rate favored you (≥50%). Higher means you faced a softer field.

Perf

Actual wins minus expected wins based on matchup odds. Positive = outperformed; negative = underperformed.

Surp

Sum of |result − win probability| per round. Near 0 means results matched expectations; higher means consistently surprising outcomes in either direction.

Diff

Win points weighted by matchup difficulty and round number (−log₂(prob) × round/total). Rewards beating long-shot matchups in late rounds.